What is vendor lead time forecasting? This is widely considered to be the time from when a Purchase Order is placed until the goods are ready and available to sell or ship off the shelf. Think about it this way:
If you plan on the lead time taking 10 days but the goods are not available for 12 days, then you just generated 2000 lost sales units! Knowing the correct lead time and the ability to correct for changes in lead time is important to you and your vendor (supplier)
The problems with vendor (supplier) lead time are:
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Import vendors (suppliers) often have a long lead time. A long lead time of 60 days or more can become the largest influence in your safety stock due to variations in the actual lead times for receipted goods. The resulting high safety stock will lower your profit margins significantly.
iKIS vendor lead time forecasting removes the impact of the variations with our accurate vendor forecasting tools. iKIS customizable exception management and reporting tools provide you a way to message your team when vendor lead times change based on actual or percent change in carrying cost days, units or dollars. You can also run a ‘what-if’ scenario to see if the import price and resulting gross margin are actually more profitable than a higher priced product bought locally that has short lead times. Remember the additional lead time days and variations will lower gross margin and that may make a difference in where you source your products to get the highest possible gross margin return.
A recent study of a Top 100 North American Retailer showed they were losing over a million dollars in gross margin due to inaccuracy in their lead time planning.
At Data Profits, the iKIS solution tracks every purchase order, every line. The system can track any of the following data points: date the order is placed, ready for pickup, arrival, and close date. Tracking the data, the iKIS Lead Time forecast engine updates the real time lead time forecast to use for your orders. iKIS Lead Time Forecasting provides tools and methods that surpass what’s available in the supply chain software market today.